Hurricane Season 2025: What to Expect
It’s hardly a cause for celebration, but Hurricane Season in the US officially started on June 1st, 2025.
Many people are unaware that hurricane season has a fixed start and end date each year.
In the Northern Hemisphere, the official start date is June 1st, and the end date is November 30th annually.
When it comes to real-world impacts, hurricanes and other extreme weather events are inherently unpredictable…
But numerous government agencies, research institutions, and reputable commercial forecasters, such as Accuweather and The Weather Channel, have already released predictions for 2025.
So are we in for a bumpy ride, and what should you expect?
Read on to find out.
Hurricane Season 2025: What the Experts are Predicting
Hurricane Season refers specifically to tropical storms and hurricanes that originate in the Atlantic basin and primarily affect the coastal regions of North America, Central America, and the Caribbean, although their effects sometimes extend inland.
Tropical storms and hurricanes often bring devastating winds, flooding, and storm damage that affects the lives and livelihoods of millions of people.
The expert consensus is that Hurricane Season 2025 will have higher-than-usual tropical cyclone activity, similar to 2024 — one of the most destructive on record.
Here is a summary of several of the most authoritative expert forecasts from government and commercial sources.
(Source: NOAA)
What Does the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Say?
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is the US Department of Commerce's scientific agency responsible for studying the ocean, atmosphere, and related ecosystems.
(Source: NHC)
As part of NOAA, the National Weather Service (NWS) and its National Hurricane Center (NHC) are critical for forecasting tropical cyclones and issuing hurricane watches and warnings.
NOAA collaborates closely with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) to prepare for and respond to extreme weather events.
NOAA issues its Hurricane Season Outlook each year, typically in late May.
Here are the highlights of NOAA’s 2025 report.
NOAA predicts “a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.”
13 to 19 named tropical storms are forecast (in total)
6-10 of those storms are expected to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or more)
3-5 will become major hurricanes (Category 3,4,5) with winds of 111 mph or more
NOAA has 70% confidence in the above forecast ranges
In addition, NOAA announced the names to be used for Atlantic tropical cyclones (hurricanes) in 2025.
The names are determined in advance by an international committee of the United Nations World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
(Source: AccuWeather)
AccuWeather's 2025 Hurricane Season Forecast
With minor variations, AccuWeather largely concurs with the NOAA forecast, but adds additional nuance and context as well as additional predictions.
Named Storms: 13-18
Hurricanes: 7-10
Major Hurricanes: 3-5
Hurricanes directly impacting the U.S: 3-6
It’s essential to understand that with tropical cyclones like hurricanes, it’s not only the number and intensity of the storms, but how many of them make landfall that determines the extent of the damage or destruction of human life and property.
(Source: AccuWeather)
According to AccuWeather, “Five hurricanes and one unnamed subtropical storm made landfall in the U.S. in 2024… causing an estimated $500 billion in total damage and economic loss from tropical impacts in the U.S.”
(Source: AccuWeather)
AccuWeather has an impressive record of forecasting landfall hurricane activity in the U.S.
Even if AccuWeather’s prediction that Hurricane Season 2025 will likely be as bad or worse than 2024 turns out to be wrong, it’s best to be prepared for the worst.
How to Prepare for Hurricane Season 2025
Depending on where you live in the US, you may already be well acquainted with hurricane preparedness.
However, one of the most alarming trends of hurricanes and tropical storms in recent years is significant damage occurring further inland from the coasts, wreaking havoc in unprepared communities.
Here’s a high-level overview of hurricane preparedness tips to help mitigate risks to life and property.
Hurricane Insurance: Is Your Home Covered?
While home insurance policies in the U.S. typically cover hurricane damage from wind, flood damage almost always requires a separate policy, as many homeowners learned in 2024.
In Buncombe County, NC — home to Asheville — less than 1% of homes carried flood insurance when Hurricane Helene hit in 2024, killing over 100 people and leaving mass destruction in its wake.
If you don’t have flood insurance, the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) may be able to help.
Create a Hurricane Emergency Kit: Essential Supplies
A hurricane preparedness kit can be a lifesaver even if you live in a location not typically impacted by tropical storms.
For a detailed emergency kit checklist and guidance, see our guide to hurricane preparedness.
At a minimum, it should include:
Water: 1 gallon of drinking water per person per day. Aim for at least a 3-day supply.
Food: Non-perishable food supply for at least 3 days.
First Aid Kit
Flashlight and Extra Batteries
Battery-Powered or Hand-Crank Radio
Dust Masks
Cell Phone with Charger and Portable Power Bank
Pet Supplies
Cash, Important Documents and Local Maps: Keep in a waterproof bag.
Develop a Family Evacuation Plan
Create a plan to evacuate quickly and safely if ordered.
Key considerations:
Evacuation Routes: Plan multiple routes in case one is blocked.
Meeting Place: Choose a safe location outside your immediate area.
Communication Plan: How will you contact family if cell service is down?
Bug Out Bag: Pack a portable emergency kit with essentials.
Stay informed about evacuation orders from local officials
Protect Your Home from Hurricane Damage
Minimize potential damage by taking these key steps:
Windows and Doors: Install hurricane shutters or plywood. Reinforce garage doors.
Yard Maintenance: Trim trees and secure loose outdoor items.
Roof Inspection: Check for damaged or missing shingles.
For more comprehensive protection measures, consult local building codes and FEMA resources.
Understanding Hurricane Alerts and Warnings
Understand the meaning of different alerts is essential:
Hurricane Watch: Hurricane conditions are possible. Prepare and monitor forecasts.
Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions are expected. Take immediate action.
Storm Surge Warning: Danger of life-threatening flooding. Evacuate if ordered.
Stay informed by monitoring NOAA Weather Radio, local news, and official emergency alerts.
What to Do During a Hurricane
Prioritize safety when a hurricane strikes:
Stay Indoors: Shelter in a secure building, away from windows and doors.
Monitor Updates: Listen to NOAA Weather Radio or local news for official information.
Power Outages: Turn off and unplug appliances. Never use gas or propane generators indoors.
Flooding: Seek higher ground. Avoid walking or driving through floodwaters.
Post-Hurricane Safety Precautions
Hurricane recovery takes time, so stay vigilant:
Power Lines: Assume all downed lines are live; stay clear and report them.
Floodwaters: Avoid contact with floodwaters due to contamination risks.
Carbon Monoxide: Ensure proper generator use outdoors; check CO detector batteries.
Record Property Damage: Thoroughly document property damage for insurance.
Community Support: Reach out to community services or FEMA for help.
Follow ongoing safety advice from local officials.
Final Thoughts
Experts predict that Hurricane Season 2025 will be as bad or worse than 2024…
Even if you’re inland, far away from the coasts, the effects of tropical storms and cyclones can be devastating.
Follow the steps outlined above and consult local and national resources that can help keep your family safe.
Consider investing in an off-grid power supply for essential home backup in case you must shelter in place.
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